An O’Reilly Radar Summit Bitcoin & the Blockchain

Realities, Risks, Rewards

January 27, 2015 San Francisco, CA

Bitcoin and the Future: Projections and Predictions

4:30pm–5:00pm Tuesday, 01/27/2015
Location: Cowell Theater Level:

Speculation about the long-term ramifications of bitcoin and the blockchain abounds: Cash will be obsolete. Gold will be worthless. Banks won’t exist. There will be one international currency. Or, the impact of these technologies could play out in entirely unexpected ways. In this session, futurists and tech experts take a look at what the future may hold.

Photo of David Chen

David Chen

Lightspeed Venture Partners

David focuses primarily on investments in the mobile, Internet, and software sectors.

Before joining Lightspeed, David was a product manager on the Facebook growth team. Previously, he was co-founder and VP Product of Triangulate, a venture-backed startup using social media behaviors to drive algorithmic matching. Prior to Triangulate, David served in product management and engineering roles for Admob and Digital Chocolate. In addition, he worked at McKinsey on strategic engagements with technology companies.

David received his Ph.D. in Science, Technology, and Management from Harvard Business School and Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, and his M.S. and B.A. in Computer Science from Harvard

Photo of Elizabeth Stark

Elizabeth Stark

Stanford StartX

Elizabeth Stark is an entrepreneur and thought leader on the future of technology. She is a founder of StartBitcoin, a group of entrepreneurs building the future of digital currencies and decentralized technology, and a fellow at Coin Center. Elizabeth previously lectured at Stanford and Yale on the Internet’s impact on society, the economy, and the law.

Elizabeth has worked on tech-policy issues for over a decade and played an instrumental role in the Internet-freedom effort that defeated SOPA/PIPA by engaging 18-million people worldwide. A graduate of Harvard Law School, Elizabeth spent years working with Harvard’s Berkman Center for Internet & Society, covering issues such as Internet censorship, digital copyright, and privacy. She also cofounded the Open Video Alliance, which promotes innovation and free expression in online video, and has collaborated with industry leaders such as Mozilla and Google. Elizabeth serves on the Boards of Directors of Demand Progress and Securing Change, served as an entrepreneur-in-residence at Stanford’s StartX, and is building new ways to promote innovation through distributed, blockchain-based technology.

Photo of Robin Hanson

Robin Hanson

George Mason University

Robin Hanson is an associate professor of economics at George Mason University, a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University, and chief scientist at Consensus Point. After receiving his Ph.D. in social science from the California Institute of Technology in 1997, Robin was a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation health policy scholar at the University of California at Berkeley. In 1984, Robin received a masters in physics and a masters in the philosophy of science from the University of Chicago, and afterward spent nine years researching artificial intelligence, Bayesian statistics, and hypertext publishing at Lockheed, NASA, and independently.
Robin has over 70 publications, including articles in Applied Optics, Business Week, CATO Journal, Communications of the ACM, Economics Letters, Econometrica, Economics of Governance, Extropy, Forbes, Foundations of Physics, IEEE Intelligent Systems, Information Systems Frontiers, Innovations, International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Journal of Evolution and Technology, Journal of Law Economics and Policy, Journal of Political Philosophy, Journal of Prediction Markets, Journal of Public Economics, Medical Hypotheses, Proceedings of the Royal Society, Public Choice, Social Epistemology, Social Philosophy and Policy, Theory and Decision, and Wired.

Robin has pioneered prediction markets, also known as information markets or idea futures, since 1988. He was the first to write in detail about people creating and subsidizing markets in order to gain better estimates on those topics. Robin was a principal architect of the first internal corporate markets, at Xanadu in 1990, of the first web markets, the Foresight Exchange since 1994, and of DARPA’s Policy Analysis Market, from 2001 to 2003. Robin has developed new technologies for conditional, combinatorial, and intermediated trading, and has studied insider trading, manipulation, and other foul play. Robin has written and spoken widely on the application of idea futures to business and policy, being mentioned in over one hundered press articles on the subject, and advising many ventures, including GuessNow, Newsfutures, Particle Financial, Prophet Street, Trilogy Advisors, XPree, YooNew, and undisclosable defense research projects. He is now chief scientist at Consensus Point.

Robin has diverse research interests, with papers on spatial product competition, health incentive contracts, group insurance, product bans, evolutionary psychology and bioethics of health care, voter information incentives, incentives to fake expertize, Bayesian classification, agreeing to disagree, self-deception in disagreement, probability elicitation, wiretaps, image reconstruction, the history of science prizes, reversible computation, the origin of life, the survival of humanity, very long term economic growth, growth given machine intelligence, and interstellar colonization.

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