How do we know how many people have been killed in Syria? If violence
is escalating or decreasing? The hard answer is we don’t. But through
careful application of machine learning and other statistical
techniques, we can quantify what we do, and don’t, know. In this talk
Megan will present how the Human Rights Data Analysis Group uses random
forests, multiple systems estimation, and various Python and R packages
to estimate conflict casualties.
As the executive director at the Human Rights Data Analysis Group, Megan Price designs strategies and methods for statistical analysis of human rights data for projects in a variety of locations including Guatemala, Colombia, and Syria. Megan’s work in Guatemala includes serving as the lead statistician, since 2009, on a project in which she analyzes documents from the National Police Archive; she has also contributed analyses submitted as evidence in two court cases in Guatemala. Her work in Syria includes serving as the lead statistician and author on two recent reports, commissioned by the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner of Human Rights (OHCHR), on documented deaths in that country. Megan is a research fellow at the Carnegie Mellon University Center for Human Rights Science. She earned her PhD in biostatistics and a certificate in human rights from the Rollins School of Public Health at Emory University. Megan also holds an MS and BS in statistics from Case Western Reserve University.
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